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The European Smaller Companies Trust PLC
ESCT.LFinancial ServicesLSEGB
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | £161.36M | 55.8% | £90.04M | £96.81M | N/A |
| 2027 | £177.49M | 55.8% | £99.04M | £106.49M | £96.81M |
| 2028 | £195.24M | 55.8% | £108.94M | £117.14M | £96.81M |
| 2029 | £214.76M | 55.8% | £119.84M | £128.86M | £96.81M |
| 2030 | £236.24M | 55.8% | £131.82M | £141.74M | £96.81M |
| 2031 | £259.87M | 55.8% | £145.00M | £155.92M | £96.81M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | £0.24 | 2025-06-30 |
| EPS growth | +14.3% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | £0.468 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 8.8 | P/E |
| Future price | £4.12 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | £2.558 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | £1.791 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | £1.279 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | £556.87 | £624.63 | £717.02 |
| 10.0% | £488.44 | £538.39 | £603.72 |
| 11.0% | £434.50 | £472.53 | £520.71 |