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Churchill China plc
CHH.LConsumer CyclicalLSEGB
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | £76.28M | 5.7% | £4.35M | £4.96M | N/A |
| 2027 | £77.73M | 5.7% | £4.43M | £5.05M | £4.59M |
| 2028 | £79.20M | 5.7% | £4.51M | £5.15M | £4.25M |
| 2029 | £80.71M | 5.7% | £4.60M | £5.25M | £3.94M |
| 2030 | £82.24M | 5.7% | £4.69M | £5.35M | £3.65M |
| 2031 | £83.80M | 5.7% | £4.78M | £5.45M | £3.38M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | £0.40 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -31.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | £0.063 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 8.6 | P/E |
| Future price | £0.538 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | £0.334 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | £0.234 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | £0.167 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | £671.97 | £742.25 | £838.09 |
| 10.0% | £600.52 | £652.34 | £720.10 |
| 11.0% | £544.11 | £583.57 | £633.54 |