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BAE Systems plc
BA.LIndustrialsLSEGB
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | £28.34B | 7.3% | £2.07B | £2.38B | N/A |
| 2027 | £30.21B | 7.3% | £2.21B | £2.54B | £2.31B |
| 2028 | £32.20B | 7.3% | £2.35B | £2.70B | £2.24B |
| 2029 | £34.32B | 7.3% | £2.51B | £2.88B | £2.17B |
| 2030 | £36.59B | 7.3% | £2.67B | £3.07B | £2.10B |
| 2031 | £39.01B | 7.3% | £2.85B | £3.28B | £2.03B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | £0.68 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +6.2% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | £0.919 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 24.9 | P/E |
| Future price | £22.873 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | £14.203 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | £9.942 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | £7.101 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | £1,253.22 | £1,433.97 | £1,680.43 |
| 10.0% | £1,070.21 | £1,203.47 | £1,377.72 |
| 11.0% | £925.87 | £1,027.33 | £1,155.85 |