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Arbuthnot Banking Group PLC
ARBB.LFinancial ServicesLSEGB
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | £304.30M | 5.9% | £17.95M | £52.95M | N/A |
| 2027 | £366.38M | 5.9% | £21.62M | £63.75M | £57.95M |
| 2028 | £441.12M | 5.9% | £26.03M | £76.75M | £63.43M |
| 2029 | £531.11M | 5.9% | £31.34M | £92.41M | £69.43M |
| 2030 | £639.45M | 5.9% | £37.73M | £111.26M | £76.00M |
| 2031 | £769.90M | 5.9% | £45.42M | £133.96M | £83.18M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | £1.09 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -28.3% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | £0.207 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 8.1 | P/E |
| Future price | £1.673 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | £1.039 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | £0.727 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | £0.519 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | £10,983.51 | £12,122.13 | £13,674.81 |
| 10.0% | £9,840.78 | £10,680.26 | £11,778.04 |
| 11.0% | £8,941.36 | £9,580.55 | £10,390.19 |