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Croda International Plc
49GP.LBasic MaterialsLSEGB
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | £1.70B | 3.6% | £61.18M | £171.64M | N/A |
| 2027 | £1.78B | 3.6% | £64.05M | £179.71M | £163.37M |
| 2028 | £1.86B | 3.6% | £67.06M | £188.15M | £155.50M |
| 2029 | £1.95B | 3.6% | £70.22M | £197.00M | £148.01M |
| 2030 | £2.04B | 3.6% | £73.52M | £206.25M | £140.87M |
| 2031 | £2.14B | 3.6% | £76.97M | £215.95M | £134.09M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | £0.44 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -40.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | £0.034 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 60.7 | P/E |
| Future price | £2.077 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | £1.29 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | £0.903 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | £0.645 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | £49.413 | £56.668 | £66.561 |
| 10.0% | £42.056 | £47.405 | £54.399 |
| 11.0% | £36.251 | £40.324 | £45.483 |