NVR, Inc.: Forward Indicators Have Improved, But P&L Hasn't (Rating Upgrade To Hold)

NVR, Inc. (NVR) is upgraded from Sell to Hold as forward indicators improve, but P&L remains under pressure. Q1 2026 saw new orders rise 7% y/y, community count increase, and cancellations improve, signaling demand stabilization. Despite better forward metrics, revenue fell 22% y/y, gross margin declined 230bps, and homebuilding income before tax dropped 39% y/y.