Carlyle Secured Lending: Dividend Reset Priced In

Carlyle Secured Lending Inc. trades at a 34% discount to NAV, reflecting sector-wide BDC concerns as well as dividend risk. CGBD's portfolio grew 37% year-over-year in Q4'25, driven by record organic loan origination as well as a 2024 merger with another investment company. The firm's net investment income per share declined ~30% year-over-year in Q4 '25, resulting in a CGBD dividend coverage ratio drop to 82.5%. A dividend cut is therefore likely.