Fidelity National Financial: Housing Pessimism Is Too Extreme (Upgrade)

Fidelity National Financial is upgraded to "Buy" after a 25% share price decline, offering 13% upside and a secure 4.4% dividend yield. I estimate FNF's fair value at $53 per share, factoring in its $2.25 billion FG stake and resilient core title operations. Residential mortgage activity remains sluggish, but commercial title volumes are rebounding, with technology and AI investments supporting margin expansion.