Iridium Communications' Ascent Means It's Time For A Downgrade

Iridium Communications is downgraded from 'Strong Buy' to 'Buy' after a 35.6% rally and recent fundamental softness. Q4 2025 revenue was flat at $212.9 million, with government subscribers down 14.2% and growth concentrated in low-value commercial IoT data customers. 2026 guidance calls for flat to 2% service revenue growth and EBITDA of $480–$490 million, impacted by cash-only incentive compensation.