MercadoLibre: Short-Term Pain For Long-Term Gain

MercadoLibre (MELI) has declined over 35% from its 2025 peak, driven by concerns over margin compression amid heavy investment in logistics and payments. MELI's 1Q 2026 revenue grew 49% year-over-year, with management prioritizing long-term market share gains in Latin America's underpenetrated e-commerce sector. I estimate MELI's sustainable net margin at 6.5%-7.0%, supporting a fair value of $2,030–$2,185 per share—implying 20–29% upside from current levels.