RTX's Meltdown Creates Multi-Year Commercial/Defense Winner - Reiterate Buy

Multi-year defense agreements are set to boost RTX's annual munition production by 2x–4x, underpinning long-term revenue/margin expansion amid heightened global defense spending. Aging fleets, constrained new supply, and surging backlogs (China's reopening) support commercial booking/aftermarket growth trends, with IATA expecting supply-demand imbalance to persist through 2031. RTX's raised FY2026 guidance is well supported by the growing multi-year backlog, the richer profit margins, and the expanded production capacity.