ConocoPhillips: More Upside Given Long-Term Cash Flow Tailwinds

ConocoPhillips remains a "Buy," with ~15% upside to a $135 fair value, driven by sustained high oil prices post-Strait of Hormuz closure. COP's oil-weighted production and disciplined capex position it to benefit from the ongoing supply shock, despite headwinds from weak natural gas prices. Q2 and 2026 free cash flow are set to surge, with at least $12.5 billion expected this year and major projects like Willow and Port Arthur LNG driving medium-term growth.