Allstate: The Turnaround Is Real, But The Story May Not Be Fully Priced In

Allstate has executed a genuine turnaround, with Q1 2026 combined ratio improving to 82% from 97.4% and underwriting income surging to $2.7 billion. ALL still trades at 4.7–7.5x forward P/E, despite restored profitability and robust capital returns and strong capital generation. The company continued returning capital to shareholders in Q1 2026,  and authorized a new $4 billion buyback program through 2028, signaling confidence in sustained earnings.