Delek US Holdings: Iran War Benefits Justify The Rally (Downgrade)

Delek US Holdings has surged nearly 200% over the past year, driven by regulatory relief and surging crack spreads from geopolitical disruptions. DK benefits from EPA small refinery exemptions and a favorable balance sheet, with $615 million in cash, $889 million in debt, and a valuable DKL stake. I estimate DK's fair value at $53, reflecting both a one-time windfall from the Iran War and normalized free cash flow, implying ~20% upside.