Peabody Energy: Initiating A Position On Positive Externals, But Cautiously On Weak Q1 Results

Peabody Energy is upgraded from hold to buy after a 30% share price pullback and improving long-term fundamentals. BTU's Q1 results showed rising production costs outpacing revenue growth, leading to a net loss, but external conditions may improve. I see thermal coal demand strengthening as global LNG supplies tighten, while metallurgical coal faces headwinds from slower economic growth.