Humana: Perhaps The 'Buy The Dip' Thesis Was Right All Along (Rating Upgrade)

Humana Inc. is upgraded to Buy as shares rebound from a >65% decline, supported by improved CMS rate decisions and activist investor involvement. Despite 2026 EPS guidance below Q1 levels, HUM targets a sustainable 3%+ Medicare Advantage margin and long-term earnings growth by 2028. Recent Q1 results exceeded revenue and adjusted EPS expectations, with a favorable medical benefit ratio and affirmed 25% MA membership growth for 2026.