Waste Management: The Setup Finally Looks Attractive Again

Waste Management is poised for positive earnings revisions and revenue beats as operational trends normalize post-Stericycle acquisition. WM reaffirmed 2024 guidance: $26.4–$26.6B revenue (+5% y/y), $8.15–$8.25B adj. EBITDA (+6% y/y) and $3.75–$3.85B free cash flow (+29% y/y). Valuation remains undemanding with a 4.3% free cash flow yield and potential for 21% upside to a $265 price target if 2027 targets are met.