Lamb Weston: Q3 May Represent A Bottom (Upgrade)

Lamb Weston is upgraded to "Buy" as valuation now reflects challenging fundamentals and offers ~15% upside from current levels. Margin pressure persists from consumer trade-down, weak overseas demand, and negative mix shifts, but lower potato costs should support improvement later this year. Free cash flow for FY24 is expected at $300–$375 million, with a secure 3.6% dividend yield and capex trimmed by $100 million to $400 million.