Lear: Not Ready To Buckle Up

Lear (LEA) faces muted revenue growth in 2026 despite improved profitability and strong backlog diversification. LEA's financials remain robust with net leverage at 0.98x and high free cash flow conversion, but industry TAM stagnation limits upside. Guidance implies only 1.5% sales growth for 2025; a post-Q1 guidance raise is possible but sustained top-line acceleration is needed for re-rating.