Noble: Market Pricing In A Long-Term Oil Bull Market (Downgrade)

Noble Corporation has surged 155% over the past year, benefiting from tight offshore rig supply and higher oil prices. NE's Q1 results showed strong EBITDA margin expansion to 35% and robust free cash flow, though working capital tailwinds may not persist. Contracting momentum is improving, with significant backlog additions and 65% of 2026 and 61% of 2027 revenue already secured.