GVIP: Strategy Lag To Constrain Upside Capture, Increase Downside This Year, A Hold

GVIP is a passively managed vehicle offering exposure to about 50 hedge-fund darlings selected quarterly using Form 13F filings. I anticipate GVIP to underperform IVV this year owing to its strategy lag resulting from the 13F filings release schedule. Historically, GVIP performed worse than IVV in stressful conditions, including during the pandemic and the 2022 bear market, which welcomes the hypothesis that it will repeat this year.